Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tekila | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Traffic | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lordhearmyprayer | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abstract Moment | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ricelle | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alwajd | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keen Dancer | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Keen Dancer | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Triple P | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knot Anymore | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High School Crush | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Preparefortakeoff | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bankers Daughter | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keen Dancer | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breadman | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Breadman | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir John | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kong Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gimmebackmybullets | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Light | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostlyprince | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Worker | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Royal Poppy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Free | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pardon Moi | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liam’s Champ | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Promiseher America | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightbulb Moment | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seawitch | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shirl’s Delight | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balpool | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dreampoint | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortune’s Nephew | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Callaloo | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ripe for Mischief | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stonecoldwarrior | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cicciobello | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Native | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trevor Bardette | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Two Thirty Five | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentleman Joe | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lastchanceatglory | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Famished | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Datesfreedom | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenny Had a Notion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean (AUS) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Liberty Flame | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cinderella’s Cause | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | New York Banker | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadolamo | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caramocha | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steal My Heart | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carbon | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Salsa a Parte | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Bea Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jackson Avenue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Focus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kant Hurry Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Matt Doyle | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoke and Heat | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fazaro | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Opportunity Set | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Mistical Curlin | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Predicted | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Vodka Mardini | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Happy Bob | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Magical Ways | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Systemic Change | 2.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Celestial Moon | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.