Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chelsea’s Glory | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isle Call U Later | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Fabio | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exotic Gentleman | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Macer the Racer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gotta Deal | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Sopo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amandas New Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mean American | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mila’s Kat | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Star | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Win | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | T R’s First | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mylies Star | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stop Shop N Drop | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Stormy Elle | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bri | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Expectation | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Butch Womble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Bayou | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly a Jet | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldenlute | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Payoff Cycle | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elusivedestination | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Addisons Warrior | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Tat | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carlos’ Blast | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clearly War | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Micajah | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Guy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grief | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hostile Afleet | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bet Again | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oak Hill Lg | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Frank | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dried Pepper | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stan’s Miracle Man | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Herzen | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hardcore Folklore | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poseidon Wrath | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whitaker | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dallas Gold | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unified Assets | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taken Back | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Muffin Nuts | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock On Cowboy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bodee Bodee | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mind On My Money | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taken Back | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Counterfeit | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam Skye | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johnnysjourney | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mayapretty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Velvet Night | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take Me as I Am | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy War | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aphrodites Revenge | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Batty | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Loving | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lode of Blarney | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corot | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carbon Stryker | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Farewell Time | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Old Indian Trick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Whenthedovescry | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B W P Special | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes Bab | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bad Decisions | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Russet Moon | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muletrain | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hedaresthedevil | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Jude | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Production Time | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Dane | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smarty Ridge | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saber Storm | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.