Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clubhouse | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Clubhouse | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kool Kathmandu | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Login Required | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Boat to Skye | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Venge | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paxsational | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Mia | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Chloe Rose | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mon Petit Chou | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Chaysenbryn | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suspended Campaign | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Game Theory | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Blue Paynt | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cees Get Degrees | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Andrew | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holey Matrimony | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outasite | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hatch | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Upper Level | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Speed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trigger Pull | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical America | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Deputy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Son of Darkness | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cavaradossi | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acalteque | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reux (GB) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exxtop | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silver Skillet | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Fashionista | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Splendid One | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Barb | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Conquistadora | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lavon | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Molly | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Never Personal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Sugar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Voleuse | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shinfull | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Photon | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spooky Lady | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Natural | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Virtual Beauty | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frannie Lew | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grannys Connection | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bon Adieu | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Funny Joke | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Skate | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Printrack | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Gatling | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salute to America | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Cupid | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skylander | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Buckingham Prince | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Sweet Wife | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Jane Grey | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashndynamite | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sweet Wife | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Surprise | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vienna Code | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Choose Happiness | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Firenze Freedom | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caironi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Kara Para | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Slow Down Summer | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pretty Miss Keens | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Follow the Fed | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forever Amy | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Joeybignose | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Honest Banker | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Frankie Knows Best | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bernt Again | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Maize Loved Laffy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Pauciloquent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Knowing You | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.