Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 16, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Catcake 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Da Due Run Run 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Girl Thirsty 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Our Little Girl 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 L G Girl 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Girls Count 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Wow Wow 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Vancouver Snow 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Boston Lucille 2.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Tale of Tensas 20.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Arctic Guitar 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Come What Mae 8.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Sandy’s Wager 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Tap Your Front 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Table One 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 New Destiny 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cool Hot Chic 1.40 1.6 3-1
4 5 R T’s Gem 5.00 3.1 6-1
1A 4 Run Away Samari 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 7 Tdz What a Deal 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 6 Sara’s Sapphire 8.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Cailin Tapa 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Glory to Me 1.80 1 2-1
1A 6 She’s My Priority 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 2 Custom Maiden 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Spectacular Izzy 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Who Dat Grey 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Missgreeley’ssong 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 7 Elizabeth Renee 5.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Beaux Tox 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fiftyfive Strong 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Valiant Defender 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Bottomless 3.00 3 6-1
10 10 Nugget of Grace 8.00 4 7-1
1 1 Plenty of Cents 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Country Cut 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Big Rojo 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Unbridled Pulpit 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 K R Target 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Hesacalendarboy 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Corrente de Ouro 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Math Man 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lion of the Sea 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Baytown Jakester 0.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Big Daddy D R 0.00 3 6-1
7 7 Chestnut Lime 0.00 3 6-1
6 6 Billingsgate 0.00 3 6-1
1 1 Adios See Ya 0.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lookatlittleferris 0.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Doesn’t Make Cents 0.00 13.4 25-1
4 4 Bonanza Grade 2.50 14.3 27-1
6 6 California Belle 3.50 14.6 28-1
2 2 Twin Soul 4.50 14.9 28-1
8 8 Miss Lonelyhearts 6.00 15.3 29-1
7 7 Ruby Soho 6.00 15.3 29-1
1 1 Hidden Love 8.00 15.9 30-1
5 5 Sky Tizzy 10.00 16.4 31-1
3 3 See Ya Bye 12.00 17 32-1
5 5 Bustin Pietre 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bryken N Mitchell 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ahimaaz 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Marketbook 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Lookin for Larry 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Spry Charlie 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Oga Bear 5.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Double Bogey 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Corn Soup 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Genius 12.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Just Plain Mad 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Woods N Water 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Papiringo 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Jamaican Me 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Theo d’Or 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Soulology 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Jays Holiday 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Cheerfor Mshawish 4.50 7 13-1
5 5 Heza Pickle 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Cash Bizness 8.00 1 2-1
8 7 Girl in Black 15.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Mollys Flyin High 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 9 Woo Hoo 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Summertime Bandit 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Sarah Adriana 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Segoviana 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 I’m All Mixed Up 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Alys Episode 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 My Rebel Girl 15.00 9.5 18-1
1A 11 Tensas Virginia 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.