Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Little Taylor | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Navigator | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roaring Tiger | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Safe Combination | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chris Fix | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pepperman | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kai’s Statement | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lord of Light | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Fighter | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krixus Flash | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Crown | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anticipated | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Druidic | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bowl of Cherries | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Loud Loud Music | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oreo’s Dream | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Gem | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stateforest | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Broken Breeze | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sailing Along | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Arch | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galarina | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Frank Da Tank | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Vision | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Orb | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inesperado | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Armaveer | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rusty B Cause | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alex’s Dream | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maui Road | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Examine | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Absolute Truth | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | College Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Brother | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sonic Brees | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Today Matters | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sumo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Talker | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salto de Tigre | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allaboutthemoney | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Drop Shot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agador Spartacus | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnificent Ride | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carol’s Comic | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smile for Glory | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stamp My Passport | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Rose | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respectfully | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harper’s Gallop | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So It Would Seem | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trouville | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Fantasy | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invincibella (GB) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Ransom | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calculated Spin | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charbonneau | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cathedral Light | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thirsty Pappy | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devil Among Us | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bronko Nagurski | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie Crosswire | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bronze One | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Logon to Win | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spiritual Advisor | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.