Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dare Me | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Crescendo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ain’tnosweetie | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Outlook | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Essential Bella | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rcaptivating | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | G Money Liv | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Torch of Honor | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Town Champ | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Herd Immunity | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pull My Chain | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | North Side | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Released | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Runnings | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Family | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sahm Tequila | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Plausible Denile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand Proud | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cawkab | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andy Cant | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Order of Merit | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chrome Run | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gianna’s Gift | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Side Girl | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Penny | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Xylophone | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Right Trappe | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shezz Koldazice | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annagangsta | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mohaylady | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frostalicious | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gun of Gold | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old School Flash | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Her Name Was Lola | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jane Bond | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Hollow | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bargain Hunter | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nelly Too | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Cowgirl | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Communication Memo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket and Roll | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pappy Wolfe | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mano Dura | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Once Upon a Dream | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Citizen | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Rex | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itwasthisbig | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Constitution Day | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Backside Buzz | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Texas Pride | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pier Pressure | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quick to Blame | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deep State | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miacomet | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R Doc | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rewire | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conspiracy Fact | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shinnecock Hills | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unified Dreams | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiger Moon | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mac Daddy Too | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fair Dinkum | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Gauge | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grantham | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Bias | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Film Star | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carbonite | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jolly Tommy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deus Ex Machina | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Night | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Breslau | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Allo Enry | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skyped | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Peel | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devlish Hour | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Street Commander | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kissofthenile | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Socks | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Point Blank | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salty Jones | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Storm Strategy | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Finbarfurey | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accel Joe | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heart Headed Arky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | All in Good Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.