Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | North Pole | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Lights | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Town Boy | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papi On Ice | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sean the Hammer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lefty’s War | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Growth Mindset | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Again | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiza Brown | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Catchyasoon | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Digital Future | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | After Five | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leddy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scilly Cay | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bezos | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Cat | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Bay Ridge S.) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Venti Valentine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Inspire U | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spungie | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mashnee Girl | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Know It All Audrey | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On Lucy | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Saint Eros Girl | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Empress | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devilly | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia Bea Star | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charley Rude | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Queen | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surcharge | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laughter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Bianco | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Sheriff Bianco | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prisoner | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twelth Man | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Angelo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jester’s Song | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vidal | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mauritius | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neuro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer Cause | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit Trice | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Imagination | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Connection | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Slip Mahoney | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Rapport | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mercante | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abstract | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keltic Knight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Assertive Attitude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Les Bon Temps | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midtown Lights | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fema Funds | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream On Cara | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clover Street | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Liberty | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Linzee | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Small Pebbles | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Central Speed | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forces Sweetheart | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Hot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Alex M. Robb S.) – Alex M. Robb S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Barese | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Somelikeithotbrown | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Foam | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Market Alert | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Munnings | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wudda U Think Now | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Blute | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Jokers | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Vacation Dance | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson Heights | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Banker | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lifetime of Chance | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bustino Santino | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tater and Tot | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zapruder | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playingwithmatches | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Laurel Valley | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Incantation | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | M. C. Double R | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joyful Ghost | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Camm’ Duke | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Somama Beach | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Hot Rod Lincoln | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Two Chuckles | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Saratoga Banker | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Liotta | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chasin’ You | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Weyhill Farm Rd. | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.