Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 17, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Misty Taste 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Witty Banter 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Chica Rabiosa 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Chalk Hill 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 R Tenderoni 1.60 4.5 8-1
5 5 Gold Time Vixen 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Tiz Susan Ann 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rustys Gfivefifty 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Dream Big Dreams 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Ampersand 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Trash Talkin Larry 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Ghostlighter 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Never Change 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grand Escape 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bo’s Bourbon 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Island d’Lite 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 The Colora Kid 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Thtwasthenthisisnw 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Noah Chance 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Steele Money 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 B West 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 It’s Viper 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Shackinthebox 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Blown Save 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Johnnyfrenchfri 5.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Coronova 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Quincy Cafe 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Completed Storm 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Southern Lad 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Nomo Ron 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Perfectly Majestic 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Indefatigable 20.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Free Square 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Fort Fortitude 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Top Boss 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Excalibur 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Silent Service 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Riding Cloud Nine 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Jolly Heretic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sevier 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Free Dancer 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Aristocratic 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Semper Fi 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Askin for a Baskin 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Charge to Victory 5.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 The Sicarii 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Macy’s Boy 30.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Tommy the Torch 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Rad Paisley 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chickieness 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Mo Co Gold 15.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Majesty’s Freedom 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Mo Martha 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Prove My Love 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Flamingo Faze 10.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Dissolute 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Iywaan 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Monday Morning Qb 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Southern District 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Vance Scholars 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Zabracadabra 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Torch of Truth 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Local Motive 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Wait for It 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Kozy’s Wildcat 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Like Segal 20.00 2.5 5-1
1 4 Center Mid Maddie 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 1 Bomboloni 4.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Bright Dawn 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Young Turk 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Zen Master 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Berks 1.80 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.