Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 17, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Busy Paynter 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 My Spy 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Where’s Frankie 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Ca Dreamer 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Family Trips 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Full of Grace 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 98 Hillstone Martini 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baby Kristen 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 She’s Bulletproof 2.50 2.4 4-1
9 9 Wrong Turn Cupid 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Gianna’s Wild Cat 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Big Shamrock 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Busker Allie 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Spanish Channel 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Strawberryontop 30.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Glorious Spring 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Argentina Cries (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Take Charge Curly 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Lampy 20.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Gotcha Lookin 3.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Stop and a Tres 3.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Mo Captain 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Pat Can’t Count 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Extra Innings 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Big Stick 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Los Alamitos Futurity) – Los Alamitos Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fort Bragg 0 0-1
Practical Move 0 0-1
5 5 Arabian Lion 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Fort Bragg 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Carmel Road 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Practical Move 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Tall Boy 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Margot 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Shez Our Arch 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Parco 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Trojan Way 2.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Clearance 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Awsome Donna 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Italian Love Song 30.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Supercents 5.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Comptons House 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Facts Matter 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Storminside 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Rough Ride 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Minoso 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Equipo A 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Bob’s Sniper 3.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Tiz Indy 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sharp Warning 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Awesome Heights 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Whoa Buddy 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Stay Golden 30.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Count Tolstoy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ensleys Dream 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Blame It On Rose 3.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Nap Time 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Bonita Leona 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Keep Your Coil 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Roses R Blue 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Kaely’s Candy 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Shvere Arbeter 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Lucy L 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Trip to Freedom 12.00 8.2 15-1
11 98 Majestic Gigi 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Settecento 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sittin On Go 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Quick Intro 15.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Careless Kitten 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Economical 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Sippin N Kissin 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Hoodlum 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 So I’m Told 5.00 6.6 13-1
7 98 Outright 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Crypto Munny 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiger Spice 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Vella 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Carmen Miranda 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Shanghai Sunrise 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 La Aguililla 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Flying to the Line 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Square Tomatoes 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Starship Defiant 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Savile Row 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Show Time 5.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Doc Adams 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Beef Winslow 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Finneus 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 High Heater 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Durante 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Niles Channel 30.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 No Hang Charlie 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Shortman 8.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Bold Endeavor 5.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Zimba Warrior 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.