Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doozy Batz | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Contender | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The X Factor | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rowdy Daisy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here’s Perfection | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alita | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | I Guess Not | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dark Timber | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | St Andrews | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Penetrator | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Boy Rocket | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zap Motion | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hanks | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ottoman Empire | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D T’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touch Code | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drifter | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jim and Jim | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flowers for Lisa | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leader of Men | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fredonian | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flatout Winner | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colosi | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Pass | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Adams | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Town Branch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sinner’s Sin | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ev’s Sherman | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Lane | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atlantic Dancer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Without a Song | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unstable Prince | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patrolman | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wartime Hero | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Optimus Kat | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Rocket | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Primer Dimer | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Driven One | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rye Humor | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arrival | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Egomaniac | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Believeinholidays | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Deputy | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tango Kilo | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Obviously Too | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Protege | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Invulnerable | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hit Show | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giroovin | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Recker Point | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Written Dance | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day Trade | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Airtime | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Poinsettia S.) – Poinsettia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carribean Caper | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sarah Harper | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ari Oakley | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Novel Squall | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m the Boss of Me | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Birdie | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Hot Mess | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Munny | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Disc Jockey | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barber Road | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U S Navy Cross | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winterwood | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stormy Pattern | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catdaddy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu S S | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapage | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pats Property | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rvindicated | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Tinsel S.) – Tinsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Classic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bal Harbour | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Samurai | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Fury | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scarlet Fusion | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Logical Myth | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Dust | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hozier | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | One Way Or Another | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sulwe | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit Right | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mocha Kiss | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Day Lassie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Choctaw Charlie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Music | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Hart | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chai Tea | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Street | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twentytwentyredo | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Fearless | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Blow Sum Smoke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Truly a Rocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.