Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sourcing Network | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 1 | Dolce Sera | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wings Like Eagles | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Western Lane | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sourcing Network | 1.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Harley Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Golden Sting | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hagler | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dontbelate | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Wicked | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jade’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Mayor | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Wicked Charm | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Minute Mario | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Devil | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freudian | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Infringement | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shigeko | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodmorning Angel | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Girl Faith | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sedona Rocks | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Its All Relevant | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack the Cat | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Mandatory | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vintage Hollywood | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O Shea Can U See | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Power | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kumar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miami Chrome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perceived | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Watasha | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Up to the Mark | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legendary Lore | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patient Capital | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Quartet | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of an Ex | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shipsational | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Serena’s Court | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nightsaber (GB) | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Occult | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Betsy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Welcometomyworld | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Tell Amy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Empire | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Combination | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Berra | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poncho Song | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Poncho Song | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backed by Gold | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gris Tormenta | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Left Leaning Lucy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Villareggia | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormi Cat Lady | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | More Mango | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Exfiltration | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | London Gold | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bells On Her Toes | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alicia’s Way | 6.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carly Hustle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gulfstream Way | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Three Jokers | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blake B. | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Flag | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Supply | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luni Sima | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mandatory | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Tryst | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vasariano | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tonal Impact | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Venezuela | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timbuktu | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blu Grotto | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Air Show | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gut Feeling | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Rewards | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nantasket Beach | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bert Bert Bert | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Voliero | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Liam’s Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Millean | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cagney | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fromanothamutha | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Curbstone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Quinn | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Slide | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Striking Melody | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jessica’s Race | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frankie Knows Best | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sly Sloane | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Derwin’s Paynter | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Four Quartz | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ukrainian Princess | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bandulu Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Maize Loved Laffy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.