Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 18, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Guanajuato 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cheyann Glitters 4.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Maggie’s Return 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Mrs. Della 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bet On Bourbon 2.50 4 7-1
3 3 Charlie Sky 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Pineapple Alley 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Izeondec 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Illusioned 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Cat Five 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Keep On 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Norwood 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Agami 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mo Smoking 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 4 Jazz Jazz Jazz 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Midnight Faith 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tap Iron Fist 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Fitts N Starts 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lily’s Creed 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Susie’s Saver 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Frosty Diva 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Betyar Azets 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Baby Your Perfect 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Roll Gypsy Roll 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Queens Jules 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Crime Spree 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 All West 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 First Glimpse 3.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Gormleys Got Game 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Dinar 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Overanalytical 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Victory March 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Rock With You 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Fastnfurious 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Kislovodsk 4.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Noble Gabe 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Forcible Entry 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Royal O’Haigain 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Sumitup 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Viola Star 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Wupkar 1.60 3.9 7-1
6 6 Ours and Theirs 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Noneya 3.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Wendy Wilecat 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Luckenbacher 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Imindycatbirdseat 2.50 1.2 2-1
10 10 Zenucci 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Unwanted Intruder 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Louisiana Moon 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 I’m d’Cat 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Donna’s Court 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Three Run Homer 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 My Guitar 4.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Grey Sloan 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.