Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 18, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Coalinga Hills 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Glitter Lake 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Your Royal Coil 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Truth Prevails 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Warren’s Queen Bee 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hot On the Trail 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Warren’s Memorable 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oil Can Knight 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Reckoning Day 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Cajun Treasure 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 June Gloom 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Makah Lane 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 El Diablo Rojo 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Perfecto Amor 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sense of Dominance 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Thales 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Distorted Math 1.80 4 8-1
3 3 Warrior Road 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Cupid’s Crusader 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Haskelled 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Violet Storm 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nearest N Dearest 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Lasting Love 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Justin’s Lady 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Big Newton 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Cat Bandit 4.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Villa Nova 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starship Defiant 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Founder’s Day 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Act of Serendipity 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Whistler’s Style 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Shared Future 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Aqua Julia 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Angelcents 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Debt Monger 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nolongerahobby 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Around the Dial 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Horn of Plenty 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Rally Cat 20.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Outright 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Betito 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Swamp’n Ain’t Ez 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Mighty Matt 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Catbernay 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Rawhide Rawlins 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Harper’s Gem 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Street Behavior 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Count Tolstoy 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Sayers 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Talkative Gal 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Flat Out Joy 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Take a Leap 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Soul Sweet 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 A New Peace 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Rain Diva 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Smilin Evie 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Windribbon 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Larry’s Legend 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Disko Tribute 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sawasdee 4.50 6.1 11-1
3 3 Joe Don Looney 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Head for Business 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Prodigal Son 6.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Alpine Thunder 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (King Glorious S.) – King Glorious S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Giver Not a Taker 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Merit Song 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Belly Up 3.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 Geezer 2.50 6.4 12-1
6 6 Amigo G A 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Crypto Ride 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Please Focus 8.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Tom and Jazzy 5.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.