Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Roses | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Idratherbeblessed | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cambiaso | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bread Winner | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ransam Paynter | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny’s Moment | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missin Curfew | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eight Straight | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Olliemeister | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cold as Hell | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brawndo | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer in Malibu | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cathedral Beach | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ninja Warrior | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Or Shotgun | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Jury | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Atta Party | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All in Good Time | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peripatetic | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heart Headed Arky | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fetchs Brahm | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal de Be | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daboogeyman | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Tri | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reup | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Barton | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preacher’s Pet | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Absolute Courage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Koselio | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cyclone | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jedrek | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Flag | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon On Fire | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Through | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Five O Fox | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benissimo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Heir to Greatness | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Macho Ronnie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Super Geek | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lord M | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Truth | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serbian Sailor | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lou’s Arrow | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warning Label | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Botany | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risky Situation | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Depart | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Driver | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Drive | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | House Wrecker | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawnland | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Shadows | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Morena | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Gal | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stanley Market | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Careless Heiress | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simona’s Choice | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dorita’s Heart | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Becky’s Tattoo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kattath | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Centurion | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Troubadour | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carnivore | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breslau | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Extravagate | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coastal Chaos | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t That a Kick | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paid in Full | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | G T Three Fifty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vulcan | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Fate | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | American Pure | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beer Chaser | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ash Flat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angkor | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emerald Express | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ribbons and Medals | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | That Khenny | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Fork | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chapel Barn | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manuelito | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackman | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pretti Xtreme | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Isle Beach | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Feel the Need | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waterworks | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enchanted Nile | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pyramid Princess | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Duet | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Landslid | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hoping for a Ring | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Legendary Gift | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comedy Act | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Classy | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Derby Quest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Squillions | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.