Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Martinized | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battle of Will | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smarty Alex | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Old Charlie | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guitartuition Plzz | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scoring Drive | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Beemster | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Counterspy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Boy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klimtomaniac | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take the Charge | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Co Conspirator | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aniclude | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overthought | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Criminal Defense | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unorthodox | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magazine Street | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lions Not Sheep | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fine Cotton | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tales of Home | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spiritcatcher | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lotsandlotsofgold | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lexington Diva | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Fairy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saenz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Fashion Lady | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’ll Never Know | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Slew | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulosity | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tattered Heart | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arklahoma Soul | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Icicles | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Titled Lady | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sense of Heart | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Dreamer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wait On Me | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charriere | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divina Dulce | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boss’ Dialin In | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greys the Boy | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cloud Without Rein | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supremely | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mask Patrol | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yodason | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ice Axe | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G’s Million | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trystintheniteaway | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quest for Avette | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C’Mon Ve | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’ll Raise You | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knockalittlelouder | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Reece’s Priority | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Perigee | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lt. Bonura | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Priority | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Loveu and Proudofu | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallant Star | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pray Ide Sing | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pepper Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Semi Charmed Life | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.