Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan’s Grace | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Maria Gone Wild | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Got Wings | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Riptide Rose | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ryan’s Grace | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sloopy Hang On | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Cajun | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Time Baby | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose of Cimarron | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aetnamae | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Crown | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon St Tappin | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aligned Interest | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Andiamo Giacomo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Callinginthenight | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Nightmare | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gotteminabind | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sue Happy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Cali | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grace’s Vision | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crapaud | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Milu Rocket | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circleofsoul | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caught My Heart | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Golden Passage | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Laughingsaintssong | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | B B Moody | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Invincibility | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Looking Up | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Break | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Move It | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hot Artie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Rogue | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sournois | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Better Watch Out | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Irish Expectations | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hightail Cowboy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prideofdixiecreed | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rumohr Reigns | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drewmazing | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nate’s Revenge | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Storm | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justin Speight | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Traffic Control | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oceola | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smooth River | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meet Kevin | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bettabe Bourbon | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willie the Man | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thundertakesdalead | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R T’s Wildcat | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caribe Nights | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bode’s Light | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wedington | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louis Le Grande | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Results | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Balky | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Gold Rush | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pat Me Down | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U Complete Me | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoking Gun | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Caseys Memory | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Masterly | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Fellar | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Parlay Pete | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fearless Will | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Clear Humor | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovethatcause | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jazzy Justin | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frank the Mayor | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Equity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Valid Break | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Clover Gal | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baltimore Babe | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maywon | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sadie’s Ransom | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moro Molly | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fire Vision | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moro Drama Queen | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Look Ethel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bani | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Moro Dandy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roadside Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.