Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mount Kenya | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fieldstone | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Path to Success | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking Splendor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out American | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sergeant Reckless | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Grey Beauty | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macee | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Vidalia | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Feme Jolie | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Priority | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Why Wait | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sunshine Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Eagleoverthemoon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clarestown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solid Country Gold | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keepcalmcarryon | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cartier Cat | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Got This | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Nick | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Bluebonnet | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | What Can I Say | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Realitos | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cced for Steph | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dorgenois | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Moon | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aspirational | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dolly’s Guitar | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Runnin Afleet | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strobe | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Higher Standard | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coltonator | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surfer Dude | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Red | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Jack Bob and Larry | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Wrongwayhighway | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Home Visit | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Kahaal | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Blue Cheese | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Two B | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Forty Three | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Kingofbrokenhearts | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Like This | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Don’t Venmo | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Lil Dude | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Cajun Crazy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Cajun Connection | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Main Dude | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Owen the Ice Man | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snakebit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Kajun Karma | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ain’t Broke | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waywardness | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Time Mo | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Passing Thru | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Judy’s Way | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marina’s Gold | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Free Love | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gimme Candy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bali Dove (FR) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Please Be Kind | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One More Laugh | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Terranova | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rose Palace | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charmonte | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Non Violence | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetasbaily | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Toll | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mytown Myrules | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.