Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 23, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Planters Punch 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Rammer Jammer 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 T G’s Nelson 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lit a Shuck 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Herms Crown 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 He Is Worthy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blackteca 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Blindedbythegees 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Mokings 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Hoosier 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 J B Gray 4.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Problem Child 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Electric Sense 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 My Lady Luna 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 You Have No Idea 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Keep Left 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Stop the Madness 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Puttin’ Presley 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Two Hands Full 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bitsy Perfectmatch 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Madison’s Screen 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Where’s the Pumps 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Country Lady 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Strawberry Sundae 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Visionista 3.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Continental Red 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Pseudoscience 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Constitutional Law 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Multi Platinum 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Courthouse Cove 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Schmoozin 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Hyperbolist 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Badgeball 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Harold’s Cloud 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Coal Boss 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ghost Bike 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Wolf Hunter 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Humor Me Please 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Tizzy Tantrum 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Let’s Go Random 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Natural Red 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cherokee Takeover 0 0-1
7 7 Big Bella Brown 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Flashy Brew 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Cherokee Takeover 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bootsie’s Galaxy 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Crusader Express 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Cohere 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Saber Run 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Golden Palace 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bru Na Boinne 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Souper Explosive 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Last of the Nile 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Mo Lovin 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Fancy Caber Neigh 4.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Roxy’s Ball 4.50 7.4 14-1
6 6 Amisfield 4.50 8.4 16-1
8 8 Johanny 6.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 War Saver 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Iron Banner 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Eyeseemoney 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Crafty Princess 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Allstar Magic 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Star’s Dream 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 I Dont Know Either 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Kaitlyn’s Court 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lake Runner 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.