Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mizspelt | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Charlie | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Oga Bear | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Song Spectacular | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Half a Buck | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corn Soup | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Big Russss | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sunset War | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dealmeinbud | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Bobby McGee | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Getcha | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapped Out | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secular Stagnation | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broad Decision | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Falcon Heavy | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Witch Doctor | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waypoint | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heza Sexy Zong | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flower Cat | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Legacy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Man Zong | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snuffy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Styling Hook | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tyler’s Sensation | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Judge This Trip | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Talty | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chaos Magic | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Summer Is Hot | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Bitsy C C Lil Girl | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inpending Breeze | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Fancy Blaze | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Race Day Mae | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T J’s Sunshine | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yes I’m a Lady | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lil Hot Toddy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Segoviana | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Anotherinthefire | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Camcordia | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Marilyn’s Magic | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mysterious Star | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit’s Lady | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Rebel Girl | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Checkmark | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Tensas Virginia | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bibleman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Farewell Time | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheatin Charlie | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tripper John | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Marvin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Man Louie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Building Home | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Track Smart | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harriet’s Dream | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsnotmyjob | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brave Ollie | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Knights Sword | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | See Sassy Run | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Envoys Legacy | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Say What | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Minnesota Miracle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Unfathomed | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Get Them Justin | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Pinch Assault | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Union Station | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Tapage | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easy to Miss | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Payday Too | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Drewpower | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Bayou Jam | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Screenplay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoky Topaz | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flit N Flot Time | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paynt Battle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Overanalyze | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Quality | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heliochrome | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justa Buster | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Graham ‘s Cruiser | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dallas Gold | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Misty’s Fool | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.