Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Math Man | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Hitter | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hesacalendarboy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nugget of Grace | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Defender | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Cut | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Pulpit | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Madame Jane | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loneshilohspecial | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Liberina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tugboat | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Muffin | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angela’s Celerity | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cute Dinero Queen | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gracesspecialtouch | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not So Sweet | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Verdunville | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muletrain | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K V Target | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shankinstine | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildcard Gold | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wilson to Lockett | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Debonnaire Dude | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grab the Munny | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lunar Light | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whenthedovescry | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liken It | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jake the Band Man | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Showbiz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mayapretty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Linda | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Country Dream | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malartach | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Billie K | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Me as I Am | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy Shipman | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Loving | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Guitarzan | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Chaosmos | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Gracida | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King Ford | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Outlaw X. | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Rancho Bargo | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Social Afleet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Irish Expectations | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Silver N Lai | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birthday Party | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Helluva Life | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Akhnas | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor My Speed | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Always a Catch | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Justa Swinging | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Binding | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | G Don’t Know | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tool Box | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lion Heart Legend | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Amigo Charlie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grand Prado | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win Won Dobbs | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half Ours N Stormy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Too Much Bourbon | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Charlie’s Town | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Flashy Premo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Russet Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Fabio | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Money | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McKay | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Numero Uno | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Sopo | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Macer the Racer | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yo Play | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.