Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Richard | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonflyer | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outlaw Country | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nieuwendyk | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Let Me Down | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pine Alley | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bear’s Correct | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alternate Reality | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Gran Cuyaya | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mischief Motion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yogi | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Sonya | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Goddess | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Family Band | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flattering Gal | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racing Queen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redstripe Princess | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cumberland Blues | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drink the Wind | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hatch | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gongheifatchoy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Whirlwind Ride | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ava K’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Taco Bean | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Necromancer | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mach One | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | John’s Protege | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Mystery | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honey Money | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khali Magic | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silken Dollar | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Bay | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Rocket | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Linda | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Sophia | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curly Girl | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Proven Hope | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Labarde | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | North Pole | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Omerta Code | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Magic | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Logan’s Runner | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Golden Purchase | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Stjames | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wealllikedhim | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Global Alert | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Clash A. J. | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Winter Pool | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chris and Dave | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Lil Commissioner | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warrior in Chief | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Umbria | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | My Friends Beer | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | South Africa | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Tapizearance | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Musical America | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forever Wicked | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pioneer Spirit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Night Ops | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whittington Park | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Revenger | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agility | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breaking Stones | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joey Loose Lips | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Suspect | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ocean’s Reserve | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Constant Knight | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Got the Gold | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Persistent Danger | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Edge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Safalow’s Mission | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Predetermined | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bern Rosey Bern | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Beauty Princess | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New York Supreme | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Lady | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Write This Down | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Rajun Cajun | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crystal Orb | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Handle the Truth | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Delicious | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Simple Sugar | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.