Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ronalds Gatsby 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Vero Campione 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Stone Alliance 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Hard Kings 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Wild Fist 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Punchie 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Brother Jeff 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Mine Your Biz 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Heart That Binds 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Spellbinding 4.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Isolation 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Calaja 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bellamy Cay 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Darling Joanna 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Explosively Hot 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prince of Glory 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Madison Luvs Duke 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Celluloid Hero 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Kislovodsk 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Summer Lover 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Island Mischief 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bucky Bik Coin 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Peso in My Pocket 3.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Mesabi 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Majestic Mandate 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Afikoman 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Ironman Richie 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Chiefweave 4.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Masquerade Ball 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Motown Missile 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 La Boucane 5.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Jared the Warrior 4.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Holy Prince 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Giannis 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 Gluckstadt 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Henny’s Turn 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Louisianimal 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Drewzano 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Two Dot 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Better Watch Out 10.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Deuteronomystrong 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Tappin Fora Dance 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Impact Player 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Muscadine 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Underdog 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Freightrainfreeman 10.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Dream Halo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Everlovinghand 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Pacificislandtime 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Drewhustle 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Drilling Report 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bind Faith 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Play Mo 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Into Wishing 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Sy Michael 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cigar Van 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Theos Flew 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Autumn’s So Flashy 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Gray Dane 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lincoln Production 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Friend’s Do Care 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 All Out War 30.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Happy Season 6.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Basti Blue 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.