Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tequila Empire | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockabillie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Envoy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peaceful Moment | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Her Name Was Lola | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saenger Star | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nelly Too | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magic Castle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Impact | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo’s Mojo | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocelot | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turfy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Nick | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J. E.’s Handmedown | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adaline Julia | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Commander | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chartreuse | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wise Memories | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tyrona | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Wanna Go | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dial Toni | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Cat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot and Sultry | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yuugiri | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Fix | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Off Ramp | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verylittlecents | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queens Up | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Derby Code | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Huge Bigly | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mugsy Malone | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Tip | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Polterer | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocket One | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thought | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Blast | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Macron | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flap Jack | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cosmo | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windcracker | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ginsburned | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tin Badge | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soaring Bird | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gozilla | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Pattern | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Aaliyah Ezri | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Landslid | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lantern’s Candy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Hope | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eli’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Russiarussiarussia | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hal’s Dream | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | McMansion | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Kick | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bachelorette | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Connie K | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaboom Baby | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heated Argument | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Punchy Girl | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Twister | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Too Pretty | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Shoes | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Dams Atitude | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hot Springs Bling | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hissy Missy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Astrid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valentine Angel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bootlegging Girl | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lori’s Eyes | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Rocker | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Holiness | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil’ Bit of Chrome | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alleluia Angel | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miz Gisela | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Baby Kate | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Karman Line | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.