Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Factually Correct | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Four Eyes | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Kraft | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Outcome | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tunnel Vision | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Billy | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petrolo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maker’s Candy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On the Ledge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nicholas James | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eminency | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ginnsu Warrior | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Matty’s Marauder | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fenway | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luca At the Spa | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sight Unseen | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slow Decision | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raw Courage | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’sgottashortfuse | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rossa Veloce | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patty H | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Vixen | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snicket | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Meghan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Lake | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eloquent Speaker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shesalittle Edgy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Music Amore | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Collector | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mommasgottarun | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Milagro | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laughter | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Wine | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Serenade Soldier | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Started With Stars | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Alarm Clock | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mister Candy Ride | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amedeus Music | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Speed | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bali’s Shade | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maxim Moment | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Braciole | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hudson Overpass | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Beat Me | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romanoatsee | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Brownie | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kant Hurry Love | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carbon | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cinderella’s Cause | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Feline | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Currency | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tempermental | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captivating Cara | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bean Christine | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Keen Dancer | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betty’s Smile | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Outlier | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Calling | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | No Burn | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Winit | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Manor House | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Am the Law | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Sound Off | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gigging | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | King of Dreams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Queens County S.) – Queens County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Law Professor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thomas Shelby | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ridin With Biden | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Crown | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern District | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Foam | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shooger Ray Too | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forewarned | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naval Aviator | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unbridled Bomber | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbonic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Icy Storm | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Rough Sea | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Optic Way | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Perceived | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2B | 14 | Uno | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runabout | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dark Storm | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dust Devil | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Pit Boss | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Musical Heart | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | It’s Mandatory | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Bronx Bomber | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Caribbean (AUS) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.