Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 31, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tucker the Grump 6.00 1 2-1
5 4 Chipeee 3.00 3.5 7-1
1A 8 Buck Doll Taylor 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Harpes Hill 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 5 Chad’s Flash 2.50 6.3 12-1
2 1 Crossing Iris 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 All Together 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Inspector Ed 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 New Destiny 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Norah G 0.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Hopeitsmyluckyday 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Star Moment 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Everlyn’s Angel 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Shes a Lucky Rebel 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Paramour 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Beverly Park 2.00 1 2-1
1A 7 Glenn’s Jumper 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Optimal Courage 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 8 Cryptozonic 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 2 D Two 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 India Ink 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Populist 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 9 Young Tuscan 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Medley 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sky High Susan 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Vale Male 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Miss Kennedy 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Lady Churchill 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Shelli’s Angel 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Nosilverspoonshere 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Woodchopper S.) – Woodchopper S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sutherland 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Britain’s Kitten 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Un Ojo 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Life Is a Banquet 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Open Road 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Underdressed 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ready to Purrform 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Straight Answer (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kupuna 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Global Sensation 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 French Composer 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Guntown 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bright Spark 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Ricky Bobby 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ghostly Girl 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Comparative 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Oh Pollyanna 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Nancy Spain 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Vivaciously 2.50 4.9 9-1
10 10 Badgeland 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Amber Cascade 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 She’s Jersey Tuff 30.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Lovin’ On the Run 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Spartan Queen 10.00 8 15-1
6 6 Internet Girl 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Pago Hop S.) – Pago Hop S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Free Like a Girl 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 A Mo Reay 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Trobairitz 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Dressed 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Elle of the Ball 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Blissful 4.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 Dreamworker 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fancy Martini 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Trail Ridge Road 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Calicoco 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Jack Hammer 2.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Ranch Water 15.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Z Resurrection 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Stiff Drink 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 King’s Lute 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Flash N Class 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Steauxlit 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lady With a Cause 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mo Shiro 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Grapes for Eloise 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Catherine Blaze 30.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Watch This Munny 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Oath of Allegiance 12.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 She’s Lookin Lucky 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Graceful Union 12.00 3 6-1
11 11 Windy Bay 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Forest Chimes 10.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Sweet Chablis 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.