Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Steerage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Running | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clash A. J. | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quackenbush | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Igottahaveit | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itsalittlebitfunny | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swifty Devil | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joey Freshwater | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby the Tank | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Larz | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going in Style | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Color Commish | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Alex | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Ladies S.) – Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Battle Bling | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Falconet | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Willemina | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exotic West | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tonal Vision | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prisoner | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jalen Journey | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glory Road | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jemography | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reed Kan | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rob the Rich | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ballydooley (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | O’Trouble | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caribbean (AUS) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Now | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Speed | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caerus | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mostly Harmless | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afilada | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gracefully Wild | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Ricelle | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Fuligni | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lordhearmyprayer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Caiarossa | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Boxed in and Bored | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Madame Rose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tenebris | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Andrew | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major Spin | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gaslight | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Built to Last | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holey Matrimony | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liam’s Fire | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What a Dude | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blinding Light | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amundson | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Milton the Monster | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chestertown | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Stage Left | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Kinetic Sky | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Wendell Fong | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Monday Morning Qb | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cash in a Flash | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misbehaved | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon’s Hope | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostlyprince | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mailman’s a Flyer | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Astral Weeks | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Brody | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giramonte | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | B C Glory Days | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abundant Honor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.