Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | On the Mark | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bubba Chrome | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Wild | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Citi Creek | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Sign | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fartlek | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spunky Irishman | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss You Ajax | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conjuror | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flaming East | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mad Genius | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rahmer | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Billingsgate | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | What Say You | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ladneedsahandler | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chambo | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chauffeur | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Five Star Phil | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grace and Charm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | How Sweet She Is | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless Kelly | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Rome | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Letitgotovoicemail | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariano | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Kiss | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Accelebrate | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Peyton Elizabeth | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hashtag Lucky | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mit Mazel | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Cheeks | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unadulterated | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | How Lucky | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Dressing | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Wine Time | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ladro Di Fichi | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nibbles | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Torre Branca | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Classic Lynne | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anileate | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toss a Coin | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Samana Laura | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patty Cakes | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lunar Ice | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tout Ensemble | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Not a Trick | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Go Go | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inside Risk | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | E J’s Revenge | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Cairo Kid | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pit Stop Man | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spotted Bull | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boondoggle | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Boss | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pressing Concern | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confusion Baby Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Volnay | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Rose | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proper Storm | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skipper Sue | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Gittin There | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Effect | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sparkle Sprinkle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bandits Warrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plane Drunk | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stand by You | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Gracie | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Stare Down | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Wildcat | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Somebody Loves Me | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | M’Lady Thatcher | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sizzling Hot | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap N Glo | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Once More | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Gangster | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mako Miss | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sapphire Beauty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Made It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.