Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Camaraderie 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ship It 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Sassy Sagey 1.60 1.3 2-1
7 7 Hail Columbia 1.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 No Drama Momma 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Mi Crescendo 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Graydawn Day 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Ain’tnosweetie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dancin Rocket 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Diesel Fuel 10.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Point Blank 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Cybertown 15.00 3.2 6-1
13 13 Heart Headed Arky 5.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Mr. Wully Bully 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Finbarfurey 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sobriety 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Accel Joe 50.00 5 9-1
5 5 Rosie’s Boy 5.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Work All Day 20.00 11.2 21-1
2 2 Impoverished 12.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Sir Peel 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Atta Party 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Twitty City 2.00 1 2-1
1 6 Eskenforit 1.40 1.1 2-1
9 10 Arrival 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Egomaniac 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Keesawah 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 9 Generator 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 8 Spark (PER) 30.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 Gold Vermilion 20.00 6.7 13-1
1A 7 Ego 1.40 SCRATCH
5 4 Bayou Sarge 30.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Obviously Too 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
A Girl Like Me 0 0-1
3 3 Italian Justice 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 A Real Jewel 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 A Girl Like Me 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Princedreamcess 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Chasing Shadows 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Super Wonder Girl 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lady Astrid 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Mohaylady 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Only Danielle 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cole Spur 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 City Legend 6.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Lapis Lazuli 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Title Shot 3.00 2.4 5-1
12 12 Jesuit 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Seaside Boy 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Practical Man 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Mark the Moose 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Calipari 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Braska 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Hellephent 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Galactic Empire 30.00 10.1 19-1
13 13 Golden Luna 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 Del Moon 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 One for Richie 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lt. Junior Grade 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Jackman 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Ernie Banker 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Alexandros 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Freudian Fate 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Soaring Bird 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Stefano 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Jim and Jim 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Kant Believe It 0 0-1
4 4 Kant Believe It 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Rock Star Parking 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Pipeline Girl 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 La Morena 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sue Ellen Mishkin 2.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Cant Be Touched 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Black Kat Taps 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Lacey Boss 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 She’s All Class 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Backyard Money 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Smarty Jones S.) – Smarty Jones S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Communication Memo 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Angel of Empire 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Ten Days Later 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Denington 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Victory Formation 1.20 4.1 8-1
1 1 C. J’s Storm 30.00 5 9-1
2 2 How Did He Do That 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Western Ghent 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gar Hole 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Mrs. Beans 2.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Bandit Point 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Navy Seal 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 You Vee Cee 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Twisted Dixie 30.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Blame J D 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 More Than Blessed 15.00 5 10-1
4 4 Big Success 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 One Ten Stadium 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Man in the Can 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Whelen Springs 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.