Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Curtin’s Up | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Daahers Bully | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Fast | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Wonder Run | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jonathan Who | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Kensley’s Hippie | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Lemniscate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Irish Expectations | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corvette Spirit | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Off Sixes | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dealin’ Stelen | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Appeal | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Applewood | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southpine Gift | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Run Away Samari | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tdz What a Deal | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sara’s Sapphire | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamed I Am Fast | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Farmer | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Long Shot Louise | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amys Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Artie’s Deal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anime Day | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Karen | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mila’s Kat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Stormy Elle | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sue Happy | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thursday Morning | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St Maria | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Guitar | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | His Giant | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laughingsaintssong | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless Will | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Letters | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bunkie’s Song | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monzza | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m Looking Up | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Special Star | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Balky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bold Minister | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Finnleys Encore | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zeatrical | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sweet Sophia | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Missgreeley’ssong | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Rebel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Philly Wins | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jersey Hottie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mschitchattour | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Crider Chase | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 5 | She’s My Priority | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Glory to Me | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Gifted Talent | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mongolian Diamond | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Dave’s Ronda | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Follow the Saint | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Custom for Tina | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molli Way | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Natalie Run | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Priority | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eagleoverthemoon | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Mia | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little E | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | West Texas Bob | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Etbauer’s Secret | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isle Call U Later | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saberman | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exotic Gentleman | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blondie Fix It | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oak Hill Mo | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nautical Cruise | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Sunday | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Genes Feather | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cottonclub Soldier | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.