Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Your Mission | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Express | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bointheback | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reunion Tour | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phoebe’s Frosty | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Bruce | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiza Brown | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Melting Snow | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Weekend | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viradia | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Fire | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New York Banker | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greatest Love | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gandy Dancing | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Shot | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Motion to Strike | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Miami Chrome | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Bustin the Rules | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Trigger Pull | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Deputy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acalteque | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Charlies Medal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basic Truth | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Second and Reed | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Metamorphoses | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Per Key D P | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Strong | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excalibrate | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dromoland | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hoochie Coo | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Danny’s a Cowboy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Anejo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gasoline | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Victory | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Tryst | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tonal Impact | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vasariano | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Worker | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Simply | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mason Mania | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Son of an Ex | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Suspect | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Dr. Marbooz | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Ouster | 1.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ria’s Angel | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Datesfreedom | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cagney | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Love | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy to Bless | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Piece of My Heart | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corey | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Short Summer Dress | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thistlefield | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fouette | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Treat Street | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frannie Lew | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tonight We Love | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chiara | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Try It Again | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Menily | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warsalm | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Pride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.