Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vero Campione 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ronalds Gatsby 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hard Kings 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Spreading Rumors 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Stone Alliance 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Star Ready 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Wild Fist 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Brother Jeff 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bucky Bik Coin 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Peso in My Pocket 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Afikoman 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mesabi 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Majestic Mandate 3.50 5 10-1
4 4 Ironman Richie 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Bob F. Wright Memorial S.) – Bob F. Wright Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Winning Romance 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Free Like a Girl 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Spirited Beauty 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Snowball 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ova Charged 0.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Singing Emma 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 War Saver 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Topsy 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Huntress for Hire 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Pelican Lane 3.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 La Boucane 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Let’s Go Random 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Jared the Warrior 5.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Giannis 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Holy Prince 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Winning Dance 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Gluckstadt 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Owen the Ice Man 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Motown Missile 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 George Allen 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Eddie’s Humor 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bankroll 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Gutzy 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Courtman 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Autumns Strong Man 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Helaire 4.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Peanut N Ike 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Frog Town 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Boxster 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Amanwalksintoabar 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Wolf Hunter 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Blanton 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Green Beans 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Wired to Go 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Who Took the Money 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 City Park 20.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Ballinonabudjet 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Maga Man 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Budro Talking 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Charlie G 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Smarty Alex 30.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Play Mo 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Touchuponastar 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Gary P. Palmisano Memorial S.) – Gary P. Palmisano Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Swot Analysis 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Brian’s Iron Mike 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Creole Charlie 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bron and Brow 3.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Relentless Dancer 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Mike J 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Win Ya Win 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Big Chopper 4.00 6 11-1
9 9 Janets Jay Jay 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Foolish Steve 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Drewzano 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Better Watch Out 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Tappin Fora Dance 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Impact Player 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Fifteen Love Back 4.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Maintainance Matt 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Muscadine 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Underdog 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.