Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chief Kimosabi 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dude Drop Kid 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Catinandscatin 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Putthehammerdown 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Duke of Blue Ridge 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Older and Wiser 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prince of Glory 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fastnfurious 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Celluloid Hero 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Kislovodsk 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Justforspeightofit 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Rock With You 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Easy Runner 0 0-1
3 3 Mr Elvin 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Magic Lightning 20.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Easy Runner 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Chrompton 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Ole Stud Muffin 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Reverent 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ninejuanjuan Call 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Imindycatbirdseat 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Wicked Alex 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Louisiana Moon 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 I’m d’Cat 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 My Guitar 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Oak Hill Solution 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Pray Ide Sing 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Caeus in Pasadena 30.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Payday Too 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Two B 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Our Freddie Mac 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Itellyouthefacts 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Big Scully 3.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Quarter Rat 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Foolish Dreams 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Charlie’s Town 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Baquero’s Bind 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Everlovinghand 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bind Faith 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Drewhustle 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Drilling Report 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 And Fifty 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Pacificislandtime 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Cohere 6.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Into Wishing 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Win Worthy 3.00 1 2-1
3 2 Super Wise 12.00 1.1 2-1
8 7 Freedom’s Way 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Fieldstone 5.00 3 6-1
1 8 Wilton 15.00 5.2 10-1
1A 9 Declare War 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Unleash the Power 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Monarch Man 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cigar Van 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Starport 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Autumn’s So Flashy 4.50 1.8 3-1
11 11 Gray Dane 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Lincoln Production 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Friend’s Do Care 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Punchie 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 All Out War 50.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Happy Season 6.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Theos Flew 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Landry and Lucas 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.