Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Storm | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Mischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Am the Mike | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fowl Nation | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fartlek | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bullout | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Over the Border | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Queen | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Viking Queen | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | World Party | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beatubyachubinose | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imagine the Mojo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emma and I | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fine Aleigh | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Controlled Fire | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Clouds | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baylis Street | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alas and Alack | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Tell Deren | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O Shaughesey | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucidity | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot N Spicy Love | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monyinthebanksey | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Welling | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muchacho Macho | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poco Charlie | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whirlin Curlin | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shoulda Had It | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stimulus Maker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Branco Maria | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aftermath | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Gave Back | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Badger Tooth | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Asta | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blameitonthefun | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tyler Time | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Mosley | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Celtic Cousen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Great Gazoo | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Your Analysis | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Union League | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dominguez | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not as Lucky as Us | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Open the Books | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Originalist | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Find Faith | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surprise Hello | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thorny Tale | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Frosted Indian | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Crush It | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Battalion | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forloveofcountry | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Up Against It | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby G | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Brilliant Chase | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hope He’s Fast | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Once Stood Alone | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame the Bourbon | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dart | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minxzhippsdontleye | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart and Fast | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreams Delivered | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.