Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Holding Pattern | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ojitos | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J’s Little Man | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock City Rocket | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | African Warrior | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Obviously Too | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Risky Situation | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Orbital Starr | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Serbian Sailor | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Billy Yank | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss Principal | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jacks Fire Balls | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyline | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mystifier | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backgate Red | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rcaptivating | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | See Spot Run | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Drive | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Words of Wisdom | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zoomer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eastside Cool | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Antigravity | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Dragon | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Second of July | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peekacho | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Huge Bigly | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fort Peck | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ego | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wartime Hero | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mulberry Street | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forevamo | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Snow | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Deputy | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Valdolobo (IRE) | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Family | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Recklessness | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timbavati | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magnolia Mae | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Cari | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pat’s Gal | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coromandel | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wild Rosey | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Featurette | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Haythere Jogeegirl | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Pony Up | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brooke’s All In | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adamantly | 12.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Indian Spirit | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Watch This Birdie | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Honeycamp | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Let Me Love You | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Eight Straight | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cambiaso | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backside Buzz | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nikolas Arthur | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pier Pressure | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deluca | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juilliard | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chicago’s Gray | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leola | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocking Rocket | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honor the Law | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mac Daddy Too | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mahaamel | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Tap | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer in Malibu | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miacomet | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kattath | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Hush This | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St Andrews | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Driven One | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carnivore | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sono Grato | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Get Through | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | No Shirt No Shoes | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Albizu | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Edge to Edge | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whelen Springs | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Air Combat | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cairama | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Rage | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Payne | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Improbable Journey | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Double | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Tower | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tonka Warrior | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | U S Navy Cross | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Winterwood | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beer Chaser | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Pattern | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dial in for Lute | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Danzing | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emerald Express | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amongst Friends | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blame Eli | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rvindicated | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Debate | 4.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Two by Two | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.