Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Design | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luck of the Draw | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Frank | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caseys Memory | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easy to Miss | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eye Dee Kay | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smart Analysis | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seehoss | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizspelt | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gildersleeve | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Strike | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Production Time | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Your Daddy Son | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Big Daddy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Holy Bayou | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Captain | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Donovans Warrior | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Payoff Cycle | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Country Cat Jake | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Eddie A | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Serrano’s Warrior | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cpriority | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jeffrow | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Home Visit | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sadie’s Light | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Vision | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oceola | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 10 | Moment | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Clear Humor | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Debonnaire Dude | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Fellar | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Dried Pepper | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Note | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jazzy Justin | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Helluva Life | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Crimson Storm | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turn On the Magic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Misty’s Fool | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dealmeinbud | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meditate | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Hudson | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dusty Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | My Bobby McGee | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mr B Quiet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nugget of Grace | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Math Man | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hesacalendarboy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corrente de Ouro | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Vodka | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Plenty of Cents | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Chief Charlie | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Out Making Treble | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Fiftyfive Strong | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Country Cut | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fabs | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acela Express | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hamazing Lace | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brave City Girl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deal Me a Penny | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chickietown Star | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crypto Brave | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mom’s Prayer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missheartbreaker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sloopy Hang On | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Look Ethel | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Riptide Rose | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Girl Shorty | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roadside Girl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amelies Dreamer | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | With Grace | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sensing Gold | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Kat | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circleofsoul | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.