Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shadow Chaser 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Blackwater Falls 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Union Reward 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Classic Union 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Run for Karl 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ecliptical David 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shiftinggears 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pliantlea 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Shez a Doubletake 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Wendy’s Fine Wine 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Misquillo 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Diane’s Comet 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tiz Her Way 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Fall Campaign 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Creme Caramel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Elusive Ryder 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Boom Boom Girl 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Not a Trace 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Abhaile 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Lady Brexit 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Creedibility 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Glowing Star 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Angel Raphael 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Meet the Elite 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Don’t Blame Freddy 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Freddyness 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Chelonian 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Long Legged Boy 4.50 5 9-1
5 5 Tiempo Perfecto 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Shouldhavebeengone 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Amigos Guitar 0 0-1
3 3 Crafty Don 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Amigos Guitar 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mischievous Juan 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Dangnabbit 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 I Saw It All 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Boom Boom Kaboom 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Mr. Tuttle 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Panadero 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Frank N Ducky 12.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Dohko 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Dougie 15.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Vero Sun 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Go for the Kill 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ughrouda 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Intro 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Island Belle 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Me So Lucky 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Harley Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Golden Sting 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Manolete 0 0-1
Honor Your Wager 0 0-1
2 2 Nick the Cardshark 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Long Term Thinking 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Manolete 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Silver Fury 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 King’s House 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Ahsad 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Empire’s Score 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Rockin Cowboy 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Manahawkin 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Get the W 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Military Hop 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Puttheglassdown 4.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 He’s Incredible 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Genghis 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Bailey 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 The Big Bluff 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Cumberland Avenue 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Mach Trial 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Portal One 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Berks 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fox Red 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 In Sky We Trust 3.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Fielder 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 First Navy Admiral 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 Geebert 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Shanghai Superfly 10.00 4 8-1
11 11 Tommy the Torch 15.00 4.6 9-1
13 13 Cant Stop This Man 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Jw’strickymischief 20.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Chain Reaction 20.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Crafty Jack 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Celebratory 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr Sandman 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 For the Dreamers 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Edge of Glory 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Jelly Nougat 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Bullet Butch 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Beast Or Famine 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 A Dangerous Guy 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Bode O 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Celtic Heart 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 One More Scoop 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sugar Streak 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Adhwaa 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Congrats Answer 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Boca Royalty 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Luscious Lola 10.00 5 9-1
11 11 What a Beaut 15.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 B B’s Rocket 4.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Penance 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Kenai Cool 20.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Call the Po Po 20.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Quiet Please 20.00 11.3 21-1
13 13 Time to Two Step 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Macrelletta 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.