Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Custom Crescent 3.00 1 2-1
2 1 Marks Promise 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Half Full 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 7 Clearly War 10.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Mor Big Lee 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 2 Flashy Boy 4.50 5.7 11-1
1A 6 A’debris 4.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 I See Clearly Now 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Sarcastic Tone 3.00 1 2-1
8 9 Cucina 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Macho Rocco 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 8 Union Station 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 2 In the Arch 12.00 2.4 4-1
9 10 Pomeroy Haze 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Extirpator 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sammy Danseur Jr. 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Slither 15.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Doctor Leo 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cajun Trinity 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Xtrafrieswithat 15.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Beautifulguatemala 12.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Vodka Sunrise 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Britney B. 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Mardi Gras Alarm 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sunny and Clear 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Broadway Pearl 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 This Friday 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Moshinyfuture 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Country Lady 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Wow Wow 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Galaxy Affair 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Anime Day 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Flat Rose 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Table One 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Lumberjack Empire 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 I Love You More 3.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sue Happy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Marilyn’s Magic 4.50 1 2-1
1 2 Tapit’s Lady 3.00 1.1 2-1
1A 8 Brinee 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 4 Anotherinthefire 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 9 Segoviana 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 10 Beaux Tox 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 My Rebel Girl 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Who Dat Grey 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Marama 10.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Clocked in Tyme 12.00 8.1 15-1
2B 11 She’s My Priority 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Snowball 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Drop Dead Sexy 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Miss Jana 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 My Sister Annette 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Puzzling Priority 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lady Hopper 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Sophie’s Prayer 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Sienna Breeze 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smoking Gun 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hightail Cowboy 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Screenplay 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Golden Quality 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Nate’s Revenge 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Dallas Gold 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Paynt Battle 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Elusive War 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Grand Jury 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Meant for Me 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Golden Sopo 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Son Carlos 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Tapit to the Line 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Meet Kevin 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 McKay 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Letstakeitoutside 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Yo Play 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Little Puck 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Texas Turbine 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Malibu Money 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Omg Ur Kidding Me 6.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Checkulater 6.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Calculated 10.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Razz 15.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Macer the Racer 20.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 G E H Giants Way 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.