Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Candlestick Maker 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Tekila 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Frosty Invasion 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tonight We Love 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Lordhearmyprayer 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Alwajd 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Run Devil 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 April Antics 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Synonymous 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Brisky Frolic 1.80 5 9-1
1 1 Dancing Sophia 2.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 In Traffic 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Warrior Richard 2.50 1 2-1
4 5 El Gran Cuyaya 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 6 Frosty Holiday 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Scootscoot 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 8 Screen Door 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Stormandy 4.00 3.6 7-1
1A 4 Steady Progress 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sway’sinmydna 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sa Foradada 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 My First Love 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Alpine Queen 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Diamond Collector 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Raffinity 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Gagliano 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Baby Sox 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Caly Bali 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Major Houlihan 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Audit Committee 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Graceful 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Woke Up a Diva 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Bounty Killah 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bern Rosey Bern 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shinfull 1.60 2.8 5-1
7 7 Preposterous 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Backed by Gold 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Holiday Jazz 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Shadolamo 2.50 5 9-1
1 1 Started With Stars 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Persistent Danger 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Two Down 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Ava K’s Boy 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Got the Gold 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Midnight Worker 4.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Braciole 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Abundant Honor 3.00 7 13-1
5 5 Storied Fella 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Shipsational 8.00 1 2-1
1 3 Zertz 4.50 2 4-1
8 9 King Angelo 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 8 Twelth Man 4.50 3.3 6-1
1A 6 Handsome Cat 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 7 Ryan’s Cat 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Midlaner 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 11 Magia Nera 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Neuro 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Likeable 20.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Digital Future 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Giant’s Fire 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.