Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Follow the Fed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernt Again | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean Breeze | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Never Personal | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Della | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frankie Knows Best | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Playingwithmatches | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw Country | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Viper | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inspeightoftrainer | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mullingar | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Alex | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 6 | Joey Loose Lips | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Major Spin | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin the Rules | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Awesome Native | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Two Ace | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | Itsalittlebitfunny | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 7 | Dangerous Edge | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Big Brown Shoes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Breaking Stones | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dontbelate | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regality | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Voliero | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jade’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Henrythethird | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alite | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jay’stalker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clubhouse | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ride Up | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power in Numbers | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Imagination | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Venge | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marty’s Magic | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sway’sinmydna | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Bird Forest | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Weekend Rags | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Downtown Mischief | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Debbie Darling | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pinstripepizzo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Angel | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sperss | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Liberty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustinroxy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kilbrittain’s Red | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lord Gatling | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast N Fearious | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jake Rocks | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blinding Light | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ikigai | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Fire | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upper Level | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clash A. J. | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Busanda S.) – Busanda S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweetest Princess | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Affirmative Lady | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gambling Girl | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Occult | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aniston | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Jokers | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Watasha | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patient Capital | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Three Jokers | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Pharoahs | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Complete Agenda | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Profile | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Supply | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Tryst | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Demon | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chowda | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mauritius | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.