Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maywon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tenpins Tempest | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashley’s Girl | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jivin Astro | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zong Wave | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Macho Baby | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Lockout | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Cajun | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild Mallory | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harriet’s Dream | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Lots of Gold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Itsnotmyjob | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Firstslate | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Stan’s Golden Path | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summertime Bandit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet Storm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Lil Darling | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Z | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Jackpot | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Who Dat Ginger | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not Alone | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talents Hot Deal | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winnie B | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Justin Speight | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Gold | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bayou Beaux | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Target Practice | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Power | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cleric | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silky’s Dance | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wyman | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Midnight Nightmare | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2B | 3 | Cypriano | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Galaxy Builder | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Taken Back | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Bodee Bodee | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Jake the Band Man | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | Mind On My Money | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Masterly | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Perpetuate | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Expect a Dancer | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Frosted Diamond | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherry Star | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Psalm Prayer | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caught My Heart | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | She’sagamechanger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 4 | Time to Close | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Another Hot Mess | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gimme Candy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absolutely | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Broken Proposal | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cyber Sneaker | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burning Desire | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | More Romance | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Loneshilohspecial | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Czar’s Ballerina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Rebecca G | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mean American | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Wish for Madelyn | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Zeatrical | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Building Home | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | D’wild Muffin | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Storm Breach | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Beautiful Ending | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emmas Ruler | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | M and M’s Custom | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xanthus Wrath | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gottatakehimto | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graham ‘s Cruiser | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ted Striker | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chapel of Dreams | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flit N Flot Time | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Results | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Book | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pat Me Down | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.