Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honeysuckledelight | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B B Gun Bullseye | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Aces | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Royal Princess | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace’s Vision | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bless d’South | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sadie’s Port | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arklahoma Soul | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Moon | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Slew | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Crystal | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Electric Sense | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Realitos | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Why Wait | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Begonia | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Vidalia | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Another Win | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Necaise | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Z Resurrection | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Lil Dude | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Boss Soss | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mangum | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stiff Drink | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gobot | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Onamargaritaday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donya Know It | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O’Babe | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Change | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Munny | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Day | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Charriere | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Blame Day | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Margoinabubblebath | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lady Dreamer | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Wait On Me | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bella Paloma | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Divina Dulce | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Smart Izzy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Big Blue Line | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Captivating Moon | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Treasury | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Nepotism | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Beaver Hat | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nelson Avenue | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Job Security | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.) – Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Astute | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oeuvre | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Violenza | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Touch of Class | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Boss | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie T | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eve’s Delight | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aboukir Bay | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Happiness | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Charlie’s Penny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Minute Waltz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tizplenty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hazy Command | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Overanalytical | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boss’ Dialin In | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cloud Without Rein | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tim Tal | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Room | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little Man Can | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Day | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G’s Million | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trumptastic | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trystintheniteaway | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.