Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Viradia 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Indian Bella 1.60 1.4 3-1
6 6 She’s Got Game 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Triple P 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Alicia’s Way 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Wait a Minute 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Texas Tower 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Supply Chain 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Crypto Cash 1.80 2.8 5-1
2 2 Umbria 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Jumpster 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 South Africa 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Eye of Gunfighter 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trade Secret 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Vegas Weekend 1.60 4.7 9-1
1A 6 Chaysenbryn 1.60 5.3 10-1
6 7 She’s a Black Belt 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Always a Queen 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Choose Happiness 3.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Keen Dancer 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beautiful Karen 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Easy Play 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 High School Crush 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Bankers Daughter 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Reigning Chick 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 My Glory 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Fantail (GB) 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Betsy 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Avant 10.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 La Grotte 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Shirl’s Delight 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Ziaerati 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Promiseher America 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Balpool 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grannys Connection 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sourcing Network 1.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Wings Like Eagles 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Carats and Cake 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Charging Lady 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Geometrique 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Dolce Sera 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Styner 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lastchanceatglory 1.20 2.9 5-1
6 6 Blake B. 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Famished 3.50 5 10-1
3 3 American Rule 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Money Mike 4.50 6.1 12-1
1 1 It’s Mandatory 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Belt Parkway 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 D’ont Lose Cruz 1.60 3 6-1
1 1 Starquist 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 What’s Up Bro 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Gold in Them Hills 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Macdonough 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Saratoga Banker 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Mshindi 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Kaz Palace 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 John’s Protege 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jokemeister 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 He’sgottashortfuse 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Matty’s Marauder 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ginnsu Warrior 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 The Cobbler 3.00 5 10-1
6 6 Taco Bean 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Hudson Overpass 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Centavo 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Raw Courage 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.