Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 High Value Target 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Crafty Princess 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Kaitlyn’s Court 2.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 I Dont Know Either 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Star’s Dream 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Zeerock 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mysterious Spirit 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Astrologysprotege 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Buck Doll Taylor 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Sono 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Computerized 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Henny’s Turn 8.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 All Together 8.00 8 15-1
8 8 Carroll Creek 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Seriously Sam 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Wayne’s 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 The Calling Stone 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Avie J 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Valerie Louise 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rememberin Ronald 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pennies for Paulla 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carson’s Princess 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Whats Up Sweets 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Angel of Verdun 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sense You Left 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 2 Just Passing Thru 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 1 Paytonsattheplate 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Varsity Flygirl 2.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Texas Bluebonnet 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rockdale 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 One Time Gem 5.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Trivista 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Payday Too 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Tiz Light the Way 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Deuteronomystrong 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sr. Clarky 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 When’s Tee Time 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 October Surprise 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Oncoming Train 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Courthouse Cove 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Schmoozin 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Flint Ridge 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Multi Platinum 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Arabian Prince 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 French Composer 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Morning Cup 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Artie’s Rumor 4.00 1 2-1
4 3 Bizzee Channel 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Surfer Dude 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Rising Empire 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 My Bariley 6.00 6.2 12-1
1 7 Uninvited Guest 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Straight Answer (GB) 2.50 7.8 15-1
8 8 New Year Surprise 20.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Big Agenda 3.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Monition 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Clarestown 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Awe Shackle 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Search Engine 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 My Romeo Lima 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Alterana 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Dixie Street 1.80 1.5 3-1
2 2 Cryptozonic 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Young Tuscan 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Golden Palace 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Reckless Ransom 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 My Amigo Charlie 30.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Secret Vista 5.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.