Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rock Rose 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 A Girl Named Jac 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Hot Lookin Royal 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sweet Talia 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Tam Char 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Icy Reply 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Preparefortakeoff 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Fancy Princess 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pharaoh’s Triumph 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Aristocat 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Frenchboro 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Hellman 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Federal Offense 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Prince of Fenton 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Montauk Daddy 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Royal Thunder 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Boondoggle 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Pit Stop Man 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Spring the Beast 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Tom Terrific 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Shoulda Had It 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Proper Attire 1.80 1 2-1
1 2 R Averie Lynn 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Awesome View 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 7 Behind the Couch 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 La Familia 10.00 5 9-1
1A 5 Olive Kat 5.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Epicurean 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Donna’s Courage 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Levisa 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Lil Spinner 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Miss Antietam 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Bring the Magic 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Arrogates Dream 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 The Bawse’s Lady 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Princess Lexi 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bettheover 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Give It a Go 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Only Child 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 10 Cairo Boogie 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Uncommon Valor 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Resilient Courage 4.00 5 9-1
2 1 So There 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Love Machine 8.00 8.6 16-1
1 3 Transfer the Funds 10.00 8.6 16-1
1A 9 Spiritual Ghost 10.00 8.8 17-1
10 11 No Me Digas 12.00 11.2 21-1
11 12 Austin Whylie 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 John the Bear 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jackie A 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Momos 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Shackled Love 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Jalen Journey 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Treasure Tradition 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Local Motive 6.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Bigmancan 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hemp 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rad Paisley 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Demo Doctor 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Holy Synchronicity 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Brilliant Ice 4.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Fole’s Notion 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Dr. Ferber 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nibbles 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Redwhiteandtacos 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 If Then 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Abidale 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mo Fire 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Backstreet Gal 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 She’s All Courage 30.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.