Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Magnolia Road 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fancy Scepter 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lord Joan 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Overthebluesky 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bunny Bonus 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Treasure Seeker 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Charlys Wild Angel 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 College Try 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Minding Millie 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Moonchild 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Tribord 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Tiz a Sharpie 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Tilsa 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Twirling Wind 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Like a Pro 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pelota 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Iconic Legacy 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Boom Boom Kaboom 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mr. Briggs 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Refund Rigler 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Don’t Recall 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Triple Americano 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Dohko 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fire’s Finale 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Special Reward 0 0-1
1 1 Take It to the Max 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Blue Sky Tune 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Back to D’ Future 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Thearcherortheprey 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Discreetlin Jones 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Special Reward 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Phillies Diamond 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Strawberry Cone 2.00 1 2-1
12 12 Jekyll Island 5.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Major Cam 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Staff Sergeant 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Dubrovnik 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Almond Cider 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sir Cupid 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Light Work 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Factum Love Style 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Ash of My Enemy 20.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Seventytimesseven 20.00 10 19-1
9 9 Social Joe 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 True Dakotan 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tough Workout 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 About the Multiple 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Vancouver d’Oro 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Speight’spercomete 2.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Bob in Our Midst 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Outworknforakiss 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Soul Provider 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Exit Right 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rough Sea 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Float On 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Ron Don Scorese 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Silver Edge 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mr. Roundtree 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 El Hermano 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 In Equality 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Martinkelly 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 He Hate Me 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Easy Day 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Fast Bob 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Breezy Gust 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Splicethemainbrace 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Tycoon 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Zaevion 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Flag 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bokermin 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Yo Nessroundonkern 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Bucks Are Moving 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Hotpot 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Marathoner 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Imagine This 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Ouch Ouch Ouch 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Danzafied 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Doctor Doom 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Center Mid Maddie 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Seiche 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Expensive Cut 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Market Maven 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Thistle 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Pioneer Spirit 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Noneedtoworry 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Be Onboard 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Undercover Kitty 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Reiterate 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 One Wild Woman 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Live Aid 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Bourbon Social 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Snow Forecast 6.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Vitaemi 3.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Prospera 8.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Powwa of Love 15.00 9 17-1
6 6 Magical Anna 15.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Akemi 15.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Awesome Pal 6.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Gia’s Fuego 15.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.