Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Origo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samaronti | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grazely | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melina’s Dream | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Thrill | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grit’n’grind | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Roma | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nine Toe Johnny | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runningforhome | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Birchmount Rd | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pointer | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petulant Delight | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indirectly | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classified Info | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Never Change | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beachwalker | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liam’s Blue Moon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Predominate | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Explain | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margin of Air | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verbier | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Without a View | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cici Unified | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Touring Maryanne | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Sympathy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Risen Change | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Wild Ride | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Her Readyeddie | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Love Magel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | This Ill Defend | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turns | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Ready | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kith | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trick | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wizard Serrat | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showing Off | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Fly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gravitron | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | This Round’s Mine | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ifihadachance | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wedontbelieveher | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cabra Chica | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risque’s Jewel | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Shine | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Date Night Kisses | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Cross My Heart | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anna Rocks | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Distorted View | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom Queen | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frame This | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Titanic Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spikezone | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unimpeachable | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Osprey | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kodapendent | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Rules | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honorary Degree | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruffy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Culture | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Swift Tap | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cashing Big Checks | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Closet Shopper | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Gundin | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clout Chaser | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Daze | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solemn Oath | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Loyalty | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solid Gold Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Irie Empress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Cache | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funwhileitlasted | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chronology | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empress Deona | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | World Gone Wild | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cartwheel | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Enchanting Way | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Castilleja | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lassie’s Notion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Direction | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Positively Awesome | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tomater Gator | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Son of a Saint | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drena’s Bullet | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cantstoprunning | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Fire | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Healy’s Hope | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Union | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drone Swarm | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dizzy Gillespie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mission Oberon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Open Lengths | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gushing Oil | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Monday’s With Mike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Taino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.