Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 3 Start Well 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 T R’s First 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 5 Mylies Star 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 6 Cajun Aces 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 4 St Maria 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 7 Overly Sweet 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 8 Arctic Guitar 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bri 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lode of Blarney 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bibleman 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Gimmeasound 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 My Man Louie 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 The Feature 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Speedy G 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Corot 4.50 7 13-1
5 5 Platinum Equity 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 R T’s Gem 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Megans Millions 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Dreamed I Am Fast 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sara’s Sapphire 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Dat Guitar 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Easy Act 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Moshinyfuture 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Teche Solution 20.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Gatsby’s Gift 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mo Deal 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Masterly 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gold Bear 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Morricone 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Such 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lunar Light 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Optimistic 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Liken It 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Shae’s Day 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Tune My Guitar 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Presumptive Closer 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Shoetrick 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Midnight Oil 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Bella’s Gatsby 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 R T’s Iron Man 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 T D Z Hi Court 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Nephi 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Elijah’s Move 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Shankinstine 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Hot Le Roy 6.00 1 2-1
9 10 Holy Emperor 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 3 Always a Catch 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 8 Mias Moonbeam 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Helluva Life 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Temprano 10.00 4 8-1
8 9 Getcha 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Southpine Gift 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 4 Mageez 1.80 SCRATCH
1A 7 Hot Stove League 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jus My Imagination 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tugboat 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Golden Smiles 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Scarlett O’Hara 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Fish N Chick 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Olivian 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Diamond Indy Skies 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bind On Earth 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 10 Savannah’s Here 12.00 7.3 14-1
1A 9 Paisley Cross 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Matts Fire N Ice 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Life Is a Banquet 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Drewmazing 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Figureti (CHI) 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 Cameo Dancer 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Un Ojo 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Thundertakesdalead 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Our Clover Gal 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Talty 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Chaos Magic 2.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 Maggie’s Return 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Roaring Quinn 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Yes I’m a Lady 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 My Little Guera 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 La La Latte 3.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Race Day Mae 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Time to Sleep 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.