Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Louis Le Grande 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Courageous Timmy 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Blushinstreetdevil 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Rooster Run 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Pleasant Vision 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Semi Charmed Life 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Motown Missile 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Humor Me Please 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 La Boucane 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Lima Zulu 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Winning Dance 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 G’s Law 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Zadar 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Let It B 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Carbon Stryker 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Two Dot 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Miltontown 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 High Tone 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Frank the Mayor 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Autocratic 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rate Confirmation 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Julia’s Warrior 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Booster Shot 3.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Gem Collection 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Power Alley 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Work Order 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lordy Lordy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Custom Cadillac 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Iron Moon 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Boston Blitz 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Throwin’ Shade 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Lone Star Max 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Righteous Freedom 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oath of Allegiance 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady With a Cause 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Salsalita Verde 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Sense of Heart 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Jayla 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Internet Girl 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Icicles 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Frosty Diva 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mischievous Gal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Oh My Aching Arch 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mangelsen 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 7 Real City Speed 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Moment of Stardom 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Silver Galaxy 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Mr. Four Sevens 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Apache Tears 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Hudson’s Turn 8.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Greeley Went West 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Like Mike 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Unanimously 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Everlovinghand 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Complex System 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Channel Won 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Special Pryce 4.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Underdog 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Dream Halo 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Fifteen Love Back 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Tappin Fora Dance 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Freightrainfreeman 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.