Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vodkatini | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flimsy | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Wine Time | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Mrs. Maisel | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clara Belle | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Martharita | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Talked | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Its Over | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Last Scip | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mosler Safe | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jebster | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Triple Titos | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Despite Odds | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dejohn | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamite Duke | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Believeinrocknroll | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cocktail Dreaming | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dunder Boss | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pharibe | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dropkick Queen | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nowyouscan’tleave | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruxton Rocks | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Las Olas | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grand Escape | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Tolu | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame the Bourbon | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Colora Kid | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Days Ahead | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wyatt Ridgely | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon On the Bay | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Dancer | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moses Water | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divided Union | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Storms | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lootah | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surf City Gold | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flavian | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Luv Ya Bye Bye | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No More Mask | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Meraviglioso | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Out | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Jean | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kashan | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Ms Scarlet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boss Lady | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Time Vixen | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Super Sally | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Your Mother | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quick Tempo | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aristocratic | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Semper Fi | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Boss | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bowie Two Step | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pyeong Chang | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rominski | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tappin Josie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coal Mine | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tribal Queen | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blowthruyelowlites | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divisibility | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majesty’s Freedom | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naval Empire | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stronger Than Dex | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenax | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Total Effort | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Superstitieux | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thruster | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pressing Concern | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Never Silenced | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Notion to Tapit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lightning Lad | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.