Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lamarvelous 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Vax a Nation 3.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Snack 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Gaming Soul 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Orocovix 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 McMagic 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Imagine It 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Super Accelerate 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Brooklyn Girl 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flaming East 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Rahmer 2.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 What Say You 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Crimson Rocket 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Souper Emperor 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Amicalola Falls 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Chambo 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Singlino 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Chauffeur 30.00 7.7 14-1
11 11 Mr. Mosley 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Divine Proportion 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Xtra Heat S.) – Xtra Heat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chickieness 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Grace and Charm 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 L Street Lady 1.80 2.9 6-1
2 2 Filtered Light 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 We’ll See 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ojitos Bellos 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Jennings S.) – Jennings S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ournationonparade 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Exculpatory 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Monday Morning Qb 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ain’t Da Beer Cold 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Galerio 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Plot the Dots 4.50 4 7-1
4 4 One Ten 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Whiskey and You 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Geisha S.) – Geisha S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Malibu Beauty 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Fool Yourself 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Award Wanted 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bourbon Wildcat 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sweet Gracie 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Sweet Surprise 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Startwithabang 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Intrepid Dream 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Fire Plug S.) – Fire Plug S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Factor It In 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Al Loves Josie 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Alwaysinahurry 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Yodel E. A. Who 10.00 4 7-1
10 10 Air Token 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Karan’s Notion 30.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Five Dreams 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Savoy 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Pirate Rick 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Beren 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (What A Summer S.) – What A Summer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Swayin to and Fro 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Dontletsweetfoolya 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Fille d’Esprit 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Fouette 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Snicket 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Disco Ebo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Spectacular Bid S.) – Spectacular Bid S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heldish 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Prince of Jericho 1.40 2.6 5-1
6 6 Coffeewithchris 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 B West 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 We Dont Need Roads 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tiz No Clown 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 My Blue Eyes 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 On the Mark 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Willful Desire 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Icestorming 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 She’ll Make Waves 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Irish Lace 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Amalfi Lady 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Lunita 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Mystic Seaport 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.